Predictions and one piece of advice for 2013

Inspired by Dan Pink’s predictions for 2012, I’ve decided to make a few predictions for the coming year.

 

  • The hilarious John Mulaney will have a show in development, or will somehow be on his way to becoming a household name.
  • There will be a pretty sizable exodus from either Facebook or Instagram, or usage will slow down.
  • Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes by Maria Konnikova will be the new Quiet.
  • Same-sex marriage and marijuana will be legalized in more states.

Generally, I have no idea. Fortunately, no one does. (Even Dan Pink got one “nailed it,” one “pretty good” and three “not bads,” which is code for “mostly wrong.”)

Earlier this week, I reviewed Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder┬áin the LA Times, the follow-up to the bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. One of Antifragile‘s main take-away lessons: there’s no way to predict the future; the best we can do is prepare for inevitable change by constructing systems that can actually benefit from change. One of the best ways to prepare for inevitable change is by not putting all of your eggs in one basket. So regardless of what will happen in 2013, the most pithy piece of advice I can give is to diversify.

  • If you’re making all of your money from one source, try to line something else up, even if it’s just befriending people at other companies or selling your wares on other websites.
  • If you get all of your enjoyment from one activity, try something new. That way, a broken leg won’t be the end of the world if you’re a bicyclist.
  • Meet new people. Your friends are great, but in the event that they move, have kids, get a promotion, or engage in some other activity that limits their availability, your entire social network could become askew.

Diversifying is a bit like taking out insurance for your daily life. It’s never too late!

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